What you risk reveals what you value, but by the time I realized that it was already
too late. After Caz's funeral I met another quietly charismatic young ATO serving
with Alpha Troop. I warmed to Staff Sergeant Olaf Schmid immediately. A former ...
Author: Chris Hunter
Publisher: Random House
Category: Biography & Autobiography
BOSNIA...NORTHERN IRELAND...IRAQ...AFGHANISTAN... For the past twenty years, some of the most dangerous places on earth. And for Major Chris Hunter, just some of the places where he has defused bombs in his ceaseless battle against terrorism and the bombmakers. This is the story of a teenager with no hopes who joined the army at sixteen and went on to become one of the most successful counter-terrorism operators in the world. This is the story of survival when all the odds are stacked against you, when every second feels like a lifetime, when the sound of your heart beating is as deafening as a ticking bomb. This is what it's like, day in day out, to take your life and the lives of others in your own hands, and make a difference. And this is what it costs to live that life...
Just when Rory is poised for a comeback, secrets from his past threaten to ruin his chance for gold and a new love. In the world of extreme sports, sometimes you have to risk it all to win. EXTREME RISK is not a stand-alone book.
Author: Kay Manis
A wounded woman. A defeated athlete. Can two broken people make each other whole? For attorney Hindley Hagen, life is all about staying one step ahead of the game. Avoiding surprises and keeping people at a distance is the only way she can protect herself from the painful scars of her past. As legal counsel and budding sports agent in her law firm's new division, Hindley's always ready for a challenge. But when her new client struts in, his familiar blue eyes bore through her facade and threaten her well-planned life. Keeping all his secrets is now her new profession, but if he discovers hers, she might lose everything. Pro athlete Rory Gregor knows what it's like to be on top. But after two years of bad decisions and one-night-stands, he's forced to make a comeback he never anticipated. His team may think a new sports agent will rebuild his career, but what if she costs him his heart in the process? Just when Rory is poised for a comeback, secrets from his past threaten to ruin his chance for gold and a new love. In the world of extreme sports, sometimes you have to risk it all to win. EXTREME RISK is not a stand-alone book. Find out the dramatic conclusion to part 1 of Rory and Hindley's story in EXTREME DEVOTION, X-Treme Love Series, Book 2, available now.
Author: Kuo Tze Uschi Phuah
6 The feasibility and value of adaptive strategies for extreme risks 92 ROBERT
GOBLE PART 3 Perceptions of extreme risks 109 7 It won't happen to me: the
behavioral impact of extreme risks 111 EYAL ERT AND IDO EREV 8 Social ...
Author: Vicki M. Bier
Category: Business & Economics
Risk in Extreme Environments presents a wide-ranging discussion of approaches for assessing and managing extreme risks. Extreme events are not only severe, but also outside the normal range of experience of the system in question, and can include environmental catastrophe; engineering failure; financial or business meltdown; and nuclear or other extreme terrorism. The book focuses on synthesizing research results in a way that provides insights useful to decision makers, and enables them to ask probing questions about the risks faced by their organizations, identify creative solutions, and minimize the neglect of extreme risks that can come from a focus on mundane or ordinary management challenges. The book details case studies on nuclear power, infectious diseases, and global catastrophic risks, in addition to sections on risk assessment, risk management, and risk perceptions. Since effective management benefits from an interdisciplinary perspective, the chapter authors include experts in economics, engineering, geography, law, political science, psychology, sociology, and science in addition to risk analysis. Risk in Extreme Environments is an accessible and valuable resource for risk managers and other decision makers responsible for large complex business and government decisions, while also providing enough detail and references to be informative for risk analysts interested in learning more about technical aspects of the various methods.
Managing Risk in Extreme Environments takes readers through sophisticated risk management concepts and tools by way of insightful anecdotes and authoritative case studies.
Author: Duncan Martin
Publisher: Kogan Page Publishers
Category: Business & Economics
When it really is a matter of life and death, how do risk management strategies stand up to the pressure? Do such radical situations have a practical relevance to risk management policies in today's business and financial worlds? Managing Risk in Extreme Environments looks at real-life examples - from epidemics to earthquakes - to showcase risk management strategies which have been tested in adverse conditions and shown to succeed. The author then demonstrates how the lessons learnt from each can be effectively applied in business. Including first-hand interviews, and a summary of core risk management concepts, this is essential reading for all risk management professionals and business managers.
Category: Gun control
The risks posed by epidemics, stock market crashes, and massive avalanches are characterized by losses of huge magnitude but infrequent occurrence.
Author: Pascal vander Straeten
The risks posed by epidemics, stock market crashes, and massive avalanches are characterized by losses of huge magnitude but infrequent occurrence. Analyzing and managing such extreme risks are inherently difficult. The limited data we collect on these rare events is unlikely to be representative. This lack of data often results in a tendency for policymakers to under-invest in protecting against these risks. When these disastrous events finally eventuate, people are likely to over-invest in response due to their lack of experience and cognitive errors. Extreme risks pose challenges for conventional models of risk analysis and risk management, and they invite development of new approaches to complement existing methods. Historically, these risks have usually been managed on a piecemeal and ad hoc basis. Although banks have in place sets of risk tools to address extreme risks, it remains unclear whether the existing risk management fit contributes to lasting resilience within the banking industry. To illustrate the validity and dynamics of the fit-resilience association, I perform a retrospective case study of an exemplary relationship between the existing extreme risk management tools and the banks, and see how the latter have become more resilient since the application of these risk measures. Case findings show that the existing risk framework to address extreme events is associated with poor resilience of banks. This misfit is only temporal, however, as banks can borrow from the corporate world a set of qualitative risk concepts to alter the poor relationship in terms of resilience between existing risk tools and banks and regain resilience. Furthermore, the case demonstrates the importance of a set of qualitative extreme risk management tools that should be embedded in the strategic planning and organizational design of the bank, as existing (quantitative) risk controls appeared unable to overcome difficulties in achieving better resilience. In this respect, the case also shows the bank management's active role in establishing an organizational governance and business process that is better tailored to address extreme risk environments by borrowing from the corporate world qualitative risk concepts such as HRO, supply chain risk management, and business model reverse stress testing.
I loved the family dynamic that this series has. . . . This group really cared about each other.”—My Midnight Fantasy “I’m a big fan of Tracy Wolff and especially the Extreme Risk series. . .
Author: Tracy Wolff
Edgy and emotional in the vein of The Fault in Our Stars, the latest Extreme Risk novel from the New York Times bestselling author of Addicted tells the story of a fearless beauty who inspires a lost soul to take a flying leap back into life. Wild, fun, and impulsive, Tansy Hampton has a different look and a new passion every week. As a cancer survivor who spent the past several years waiting to die, Tansy has a fresh perspective on life—even if she doesn’t have a clue about what she actually wants to do with it. But she’s determined to find out, and that means making the most of her time while she still can. Ash Lewis has poured every last ounce of his blood, sweat, and tears into reaching the very top of the professional snowboarding world—until the unthinkable happens. After the biggest competition win of his career, Ash’s mother and father are killed in a tragic accident. Unable to handle the idea of going back out on the snow to pursue the dream his parents shared with him, Ash feels that he has no choice but to walk away from snowboarding forever. Then he meets Tansy. From the very beginning, their chemistry is intense. But while Ash can’t stop chasing the ghosts of what can never be, Tansy stays firmly focused on the possibilities the world holds for her—and for them. She’s already picked up the pieces of one shattered life. Now she’s determined to help Ash do the same. Praise for Shattered “My hat is off to Tracy Wolff, who has created a world filled with heart, humor, turmoil and second chances. She tells a tale of love, loss and misguided blame and the pain it causes everyone. . . . I laughed, I cried and I got angry at how unfair life can be. For an author to so completely immerse me in her world, [leaving me] hanging on every word and scene, is the sign of wonderful storytelling. Tracy Wolff has raised her own bar another notch higher.”—Tome Tender “Shattered is a complex story with many pieces cohesively blended together to form one spectacular story. Emotionally gripping, sensual, and carefully crafted to reflect the change and acceptance needed when lives are changed forever, this book will take hold of your heart and remind you to live each day to the fullest.”—Guilty Pleasures Book Review “I loved this story. . . . The writing was flawless, [as were] the plot, and the characters. I loved the family dynamic that this series has. . . . This group really cared about each other.”—My Midnight Fantasy “I’m a big fan of Tracy Wolff and especially the Extreme Risk series. . . . The snowboarder aspect is something different from the norm and this group of friends has really been a treat to read about. There was something about this couple that I really connected with though. From the beginning . . . I soaked up their story like a sponge.”—Smokin’ Hot Book Blog “I loved this book! I don’t think of athletes as sexy in general but my goodness I can’t wait for the next Olympics after reading Tracy Wolff’s Shattered. . . . Ash and Tansy are both amazing characters who are mainly focused on finding themselves but bring out the best in each other. Even the supporting characters in this book have a special place in my heart and I’m already salivating for the next books to come.”—Coffee Books Life
This book is about how extreme and systemic risk can be analyzed in an integrated way.
Author: Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler
Publisher: Springer Nature
This book is about how extreme and systemic risk can be analyzed in an integrated way. Risk analysis is understood to include measurement, assessment as well as management aspects. Integration is understood as being able to perform risk analysis for extreme and systemic events simultaneously. The presented approach is based on Sklar's theorem, which states that a multivariate distribution can be separated into two parts – one describing the marginal distributions and the other describing the dependency between the distributions using a so-called copula. It is suggested to reinterpret Sklar's theorem from a system or network perspective, treating copulas as a network property and individual, including extreme, risk as elements within the network. In that way, extreme and systemic risk can be analyzed independently as well as jointly across several scales. The book is intended for a large audience, and all techniques presented are guided with examples and applications with a special focus on natural disaster events. Furthermore, an extensive literature and discussion of it are given in each chapter for the interested reader.
Author: Kridsda Nimmanunta
The story is sexy, emotional, and impossible to put down.”—Stina Lindenblatt, author of the Pushing Limits series “Tracy Wolff does it again. Slashed is a sexy, emotional, and touching ride with a huge splash of girl power!
Author: Tracy Wolff
Do nice guys always finish last? In the new Extreme Risk novel from New York Times and USA Today bestselling author Tracy Wolff, a burnt-out underdog and a vulnerable tomboy defy the pressure to be perfect and go after what they really want. Bighearted and easygoing, Luc Jennings is falling behind in a family of serious overachievers. While he may be decent enough at snowboarding to turn pro and rack up some sponsors, he’s never topped any podiums—unlike his friends Z, Ash, and Cam. Luc’s always been head over heels for Cam Bradley, but she’s never seen him as anything more than a friend. Now, after years of coming in second, Luc can’t take it anymore—especially if it means watching Cam chase another guy. Cam hangs out almost exclusively with dudes, and that’s fine by her. She’d much rather be shredding at the Olympics than primping in the mirror. Cam’s wildest dreams have a way of coming true—except when it comes to getting her longtime crush and best friend, Z Michaels, to notice her. Then her mother suddenly shows up after being gone for, like, ever, and Cam’s whole world comes crashing down. Desperate for a place to lay low, she turns to the one person who’s always had her back. Try as he might to move on, Luc could never leave Cam hanging. He lets her crash at his place—and it isn’t long before she winds up in his bed. With Cam running scared and her icy facade starting to melt at last, Luc’s determined to finally win the only prize that matters. Praise for Slashed “Nothing is hotter than best friends who become lovers, and Tracy Wolff nailed it with Slashed. The story is sexy, emotional, and impossible to put down.”—Stina Lindenblatt, author of the Pushing Limits series “Tracy Wolff does it again. Slashed is a sexy, emotional, and touching ride with a huge splash of girl power! I loved getting to know this group of friends over the first two Extreme Risk books, and was thrilled to finally see Luc and Cam get their moment. I read it twice in four days!”—Sophia Henry, author of Delayed Penalty “This fast-paced, friends to lovers, new adult sports romance was so entertaining I couldn’t put it down.”—Unquietly Me “Slashed looks at fated lovers who fell into the gaping hole of disillusionment and doubt only to come away with the possibility of a promise of forever and a happily ever after.”—The Reading Cafe “Once again I enjoyed this story by Tracy Wolff. . . . If you enjoy sporting reads, you should jump into this series and try it for yourself.”—Nomi’s Paranormal Palace “My first book by Tracy Wolff—and I really liked it! . . . You don’t have to know or even like snowboarding to enjoy this book, nor do you have to have read the first two books in the series.”—Becky on Books and Quilts “Slashed was a fine story. Both Cam and Luc were likable, and with their faults they felt real. There is enough drama and steamy scenes to make this an excellent fun and fast read.”—Total Book Geek “Did I mention it’s also a second chance romance!? Just slay me now. I didn’t put the book down even once.”—Wild Heart Reviews
This is an unprecedented bibliography of human studies that indicate extreme risk for prenatal ultrasound. These are in utero exposure studies employing high-tech laboratory analyses, conducted in modern China.
Author: Jim West
This is a New Bibliography of 50 Human Studies that indicts diagnostic ultrasound as a disease causing mechanism. (Full color format) The theme argued in this book is ultimately about toxic synergies between ultrasound, vaccines, birth drugs, and other environmental stressors. Ultrasound is argued, with much supporting evidence, to be the primary initiator of fetal vulnerabilities. The Bibliography lists and discusses arcane documents, previously unknown, modern, high-tech studies, conducted in modern China, surpassing Western science. These studies empirically demonstrate ultrasound disease causation.
Providing an alternative tool for risk modeling and scenario-building in stress-testing, this game-changing book uses causal models that help you: Evaluate risk with extraordinary accuracy Predict devastating worst-case scenarios Enhance ...
Author: Christina Ray
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
Category: Business & Economics
A revolutionary new approach for detecting and managing inherent risk The unprecedented turmoil in the financial markets turned the field of quantitative finance on its head and generated severe criticism of the statistical models used to manage risk and predict “black swan” events. Something very important had been lost when statistical representations replaced expert knowledge and statistics substituted for causation. Extreme Risk Management brings causation into the equation. The use of causal models in risk management, securities valuation, and portfolio management provides a real and much-needed alternative to the stochastic models used so far. Providing an alternative tool for risk modeling and scenario-building in stress-testing, this game-changing book uses causal models that help you: Evaluate risk with extraordinary accuracy Predict devastating worst-case scenarios Enhance transparency Facilitate better decision making TABLE OF CONTENTS Plausibility vs. Probability: Alternative World Views The Evolution of Modern Analytics Risk Management Metrics and Models The Future as Forecast: Assumptions Implicit in Stochastic Risk Measurement Models An Alternative Path to Actionable Intelligence Solutions: Moving Toward a Connectivist Approach An Introduction to Causality: Theory, Models, and Inference Risk Inference Networks: Estimating Vulnerability, Consequences, and Likelihood Securities Valuation, Risk Measurement, and Portfolio Management Using Causal Models Risk Fusion and Super Models: A Framework for Enterprise Risk Management Inferring Causality from Historical Market Behavior Sensemaking for Warnings: Reverse-Engineering Market Intelligence The United States as Enterprise: Implications for National Policy and Security
0 Normal risks reduction L - 20 . 5 - 21 . 0 - 21 . 5 Extreme risks reduction
Measuring the benefits in terms of risk management For illustration purposes , we
will assume that the investor is willing to allocate as much as 15 % to hedge
Category: Risk management
In other words , companies of extreme risk - - either high or lowtend to have less
extreme risk characteristics over time . There are two logical explanations . First ,
the risk of existing projects may tend to become less extreme over time .
Author: Irwin Friend
Category: Capital assets pricing model
This alerts the contracting parties that there is an “ extreme ” disagreement
regarding the relative importance of “ Risk 1 . " . Compounding the issue is the
fact that party 2 ( contractor ) has indicated that in its opinion , party 1 ( owner ) , is
in the ...
Author: Justin R. Swanson
Love it!”—Toni Aleo, New York Times and USA Today bestselling author of the Assassins series “A blazing story from start to finish!”—Fresh Fiction “Much love to this story!”—Examiner.com “I absolutely loved this book, and ...
Author: Tracy Wolff
In the intense and exhilarating Extreme Risk series debut, a hotshot snowboarder and a rebel with a cause try to let go of the past—and find a future with each other. Twenty-one-year-old professional snowboarder Z Michaels is the bad boy of Park City, Utah. He’s always had his pick of any girl in town—and on the competition circuit. But underneath his cool exterior is a young man in turmoil, trying to take the edge off tragedy by overindulging in sex and shredding the slopes. In fact, Z’s rash behavior is a thinly veiled attempt to blunt his emotional suffering with physical pain. Ophelia Richardson isn’t like any girl Z has ever met. Though she’s from New Orleans, she’s no Southern belle—and she’s not shy about being miserable in frozen, godforsaken Park City. But after nearly dying in the same drag-racing accident that killed her boyfriend, she needs a place to heal, both physically and emotionally. The last thing Ophelia wants right now is a boyfriend—especially one as rich and reckless as Z. But Ophelia soon discovers that he isn’t what he seems. If anything, Z may be even more damaged than she is. Feeling alone in the world, Z and Ophelia find a connection unlike any they’ve ever known. But their tormented pasts pull them in every direction, forcing their relationship into a downhill slide before it even begins—unless they can find the strength in each other to trust, grow, and love again. Praise for Shredded “Z from Tracy Wolff’s Shredded is so hot he will melt your heart!”—New York Times bestselling author Monica Murphy “Shredded features two gorgeously damaged characters and an amazingly written story that kept me on the edge of my seat! Love it!”—Toni Aleo, New York Times and USA Today bestselling author of the Assassins series “A blazing story from start to finish!”—Fresh Fiction “Much love to this story!”—Examiner.com “I absolutely loved this book, and can’t wait for everyone else to read it.”—Bookish Things and More “Emotionally gripping with characters you won’t soon forget, Shredded will grab your attention and keep it throughout and leave you eagerly anticipating the next book.”—Guilty Pleasures Book Reviews “I’ll definitely be keeping an eye out for the next book in this series.”—Kinky Book Club
zone ( FIRM A - zones ) but have a vegetation cover such as dense maritime
forest growth or shrub thicket that significantly reduces the impact of wind are
considered moderate - risk zones . Extreme - Risk Zones Low elevation , within
the 100 ...
Author: Gered Lennon
Publisher: Living with the Shore
Category: Business & Economics
Living with the South Carolina Coast is the latest volume in the Living with the Shore series that comprehensively investigates the status of a specific state’s coastal region. Completely revising a previously published work in the series that dealt with South Carolina, this book not only brings up-to-date a wealth of information on migrating shorelines, selection of building sites, and pertinent regulations, but also reflects an expanded concept of the coast to include a broad range of coastal hazards. Powerful storms have always played a major role in coastal processes in South Carolina, and the effects of Hurricane Hugo, the storm that ravaged the area in 1989, are thoroughly discussed. A series of Coastal Risk Maps are also included. These maps, graphically depicting areas of predictable erosion and storm damage potential, have been provided for every developed beach or barrier island in the state. Beyond the threat of hurricanes and coastal erosion, South Carolina, home of the Charleston Seismic Region, is also at risk for earthquakes. An entire chapter is devoted to earthquake-resistant construction, and the great Charleston earthquake of 1886 is examined in detail. Fires and floods are discussed. The Beachfront Management Act of 1990—the first state legislation of its kind that provides a system for dealing with migrating shorelines while preserving beaches for future generations—is also explained. Covering everything from a history of the development of South Carolina’s coast to recommendations on how to select an island homesite, this book will be a resource to professional coastal planners and managers, residents, prospective homeowners, and naturalists.
This book offers an original and thorough treatment of these two domains, focusing mainly on the concepts and tools that remain valid for large and extreme price moves.
Author: Yannick Malevergne
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
"Clearly elucidates extreme financial risks associated with rare events such as financial crashes. The highlight of the book is the delineation of various copulas in conjunction with financial dependences among different assets of a portfolio. In particular, the insightful discussion on quadrant and orthant dependences casts new light on the connection between marginal models and financial dependence...brings a vivid portrayal of the subject." -- MATHEMATICAL REVIEWS
Mothers with only one problem were assigned to the minimal risk category ; those
with two problems to the moderate risk ... In all , about one in three unmarried
mothers was found to have moderate , considerable or extreme risk compared to
Author: Susan MacDonnell
Publisher: Halifax : Policy, Planning and Research Division, Nova Scotia Department of Social Services
Category: Unmarried mothers
This study compared 346 unmarried primiparous women who kept their children and 326 married primiparous women, with respect to birth control knowledge and use, socioeconomic circumstances over 18 months, health and development of the children, and quality of child care. The preparation and planning that led to the decision to keep the out-of-wedlock children were also examined. The sample of unmarried mothers was drawn from all single mothers who gave birth in Nova Scotia from July to November 1978, while the sample of married mothers was drawn from different counties in Nova Scotia from July 1978 to February 1979. In general, the unmarried mothers and fathers were younger, had less education, and lived in poorer socioeconomic circumstances. Both groups were interviewed extensively three times, at about 1 month, 9 months and 18 months postpartum. Other data included hospital records and height, weight, and head circumference measurements of the children at 18 months. In addition to extensive data analysis, the report includes interviewers' assessments of the severity of unmarried mothers' problems and recommendations for support services, and case histories of the 10 unmarried subjects who later placed their children for adoption. (CB)